Mexico: A Failed State May Experience “Sudden Collapse”

This report, and the other ones mentioned below, is one of the most positive things to come out of the Bush Administration in the last 8 years. For years the US and Mexico have been in denial and involved in a massive propaganda campaign and cover-up. With the Bush Administration over, the threat of reprisals and revenge from President Bush is at an end, and some officials and agencies in the government are sounding the long overdue warnings.

Actually, these warnings were heard during the Reagan Administration but were subsequently suppressed under the Bushes and Clintons for the last 20 years. The following excerpts are from the El Paso Times via Drudge. source

U.S. military report warns 'sudden collapse' of Mexico is possible
By Diana Washington Valdez / El Paso Times
Posted: 01/13/2009 03:49:34 PM MST

EL PASO - Mexico is one of two countries that "bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse," according to a report by the U.S. Joint Forces Command on worldwide security threats.

The command's "Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)" report, which contains projections of global threats and potential next wars, puts Pakistan on the same level as Mexico. "In terms of worse-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico.

SNIP

Any descent by Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone."

SNIP

The report is one in a serious focusing on Mexico's internal security problems, mostly stemming from drug violence and drug corruption. In recent weeks, the Department of Homeland Security and former U.S. drug czar Barry McCaffrey issued similar alerts about Mexico.

What a “Sudden Collapse” Might Mean

First of all, the violence and murders would be appalling and match or exceed, in scope the brutality, and barbarity we have seen in the Middle East. Second, it would rapidly spill over the border and pose the biggest national security threat to the US since Pearl Harbor. Third, mass refugee flight of tens of millions north might bring about social and economic collapse and open civilian warfare in the Southwest as the murders and corrupt military joined the flight. Fourth, the US military would be drawn in and forced to restore order in the Southwest and in Mexico.

Given the pro-Mexican, anti-American policy of the US government since 1989, it is not clear how the civil unrest and military operations would proceed. A worst case scenario is that US citizens would be caught between: 1) marauding criminal invaders, 2) millions of looting and hostile refugees, and 3) the US Military forces. With the Bush-Clinton legacy and the socialist, open borders, one-world philosophy of the Obama Administration, it is quite likely that US citizens would suffer attack from these three sides.

After untold deaths and violence and suffering, the Mexican dreams of conquering most of the western US might happen through overwhelming occupation by Mexican criminals and refugees and politically correct bargaining by the US to reach a “peaceful solution” through surrender of territory and appeasement of violent invaders/occupiers. As we saw in Yugoslavia, this initial breakup of the United States would only be the first step.

It is sad to think of what might have been. But, if we had an Israeli type fence along the entire border, it could be easily patrolled and protected. Sigh. If we only had a strong, conservative, pro-American President and a responsible Congress, we might make it. Sigh.

The Unfortunate Position of the Mexican People

The grip of the corrupt Mexican elite, government, and drug cartels is so strong that nothing short of a complete revolution and overthrow of the existing system will bring relief and the hope of freedom to Mexicans. But the timing is such a tragedy. How unfortunate that the US is in the grip of Socialists and forces aligned against freedom at this time of great peril. We are more likely to offer help in a restoration of socialist tyranny than in bringing freedom to our neighbor.